Chapter 3 Valuation of hotel assets
Michael Schwarz
Useful further reading (online)
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JLL Hotel Investment Outlook 2017
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JLL Hotel Investor Sentiment Survey, January 2017
www.jll.com/Documents/Hospitality/JLL_Hotel-Investor-Sentiment-Survey_January2017.pdf
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Crocker H. Liu and John B. Corgel (2017) ‘Do Property Characteristics or Cash Flow Drive Hotel Real Estate Value? The Answer Is Yes’
http://scholarship.sha.cornell.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1244&context=chrpubs
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Stephen Rushmore (2001) Hotel Investments Handbook 2002
www.hvs.com/emails/rushletter/Hotel%20Investments%20Handbook/Hotel%20Investments%20Handbook.pdf
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Stephen Rushmore (1992) ‘Seven Current Hotel Valuation Techniques’
www.hvs.com/article/362-Seven-Current-Hotel-Valuation-Techniques
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Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) (2012) Guidance Note: Capital and Rental Valuation of Hotels in the UK, 2nd Ed.
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HVS European Hotel Valuation Index 2017
www.hvs.com/article/7941/2017-european-hotel-valuation-index
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Tony Sevelka (2004) Where the Overall Cap Rate Meets the Discount rate, The Appraisal Journal, 135–146
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Lelacqua, L. and Smith, T. (2012) Hotel Contracts – To Lease or Not to Lease? London: HVS
Useful slide presentations
Useful videos
JLL Hotels & Hospitality (hotel investment news and insights)
Other
Jan A. deRoos and Stephen Rushmore: links to free Hotel Valuation Software 2.5 Tool + Case Studies, Cornell Center for Hospitality Research
Further discussion questions
Note: a worked answer sheet is supplied with Question 1
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You have just joined an appraisal firm and are tasked to value a 250-room upscale hotel based on the EBITDA forecast and valuation parameters shown below. Using the DCF approach, what is the value of your client’s investment?
EBITDA Forecast
Y1
4,800,000
Y2
5,040,000
Y3 Stabilized
5,266,800
Assumptions:
1: EBITDA grows with Inflation from Y3 onward
2: Inflation Rate
2.0%
3: Discount Rate
9.0%
4: Terminal Cap Rate
7.0%
5: Transaction Costs
1.5%
Answer: 71.4 million or approximately 286,000 per room. - You are advising a private equity firm on its first hotel acquisition. Your client has risk appetite and is looking for high returns. Which hotel products, markets and operating models should your client explore? Why?
- You have been asked to perform a lease rent valuation for a hotel owned by a major insurance group. Discuss how your client’s expected income stream and valuation parameters would differ compared to the hotel’s value if it was held under a management agreement.